Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 6.570715 7.652956 8.822498 10.176040 11.694930 13.342289 15.259513
2026-02-01 4.883305 6.272919 7.892501 9.903132 12.314694 15.096062 18.527201
2026-02-08 3.865889 5.367324 7.223505 9.653860 12.715761 16.407159 21.151731
2026-02-15 3.119077 4.641728 6.624431 9.342158 12.910959 17.373958 23.304899
2026-02-22 2.688704 4.251471 6.379615 9.412002 13.533509 18.844433 26.094769
2026-03-01 2.335039 3.909239 6.144177 9.443670 14.069454 20.190942 28.747748
2026-03-08 2.058457 3.636504 5.965522 9.517425 14.638531 21.578371 31.483788
2026-03-15 1.810380 3.370899 5.762149 9.523654 15.091797 22.806049 34.030839
2026-03-22 1.659927 3.239164 5.740654 9.783141 15.904522 24.546483 37.327443
2026-03-29 1.516334 3.098750 5.687604 9.981331 16.625164 26.172952 40.510548
2026-04-05 1.361751 2.918251 5.549987 10.030436 17.114027 27.474103 43.265871
2026-04-12 1.166274 2.637000 5.216893 9.737457 17.054132 27.960022 44.852525
2026-04-19 1.005019 2.399242 4.936747 9.511418 17.087321 28.588839 46.680568
2026-04-26 0.860835 2.173334 4.653468 9.254406 17.049249 29.098974 48.340632
2026-05-03 0.739258 1.974371 4.396905 9.018636 17.023285 29.613945 50.010207
2026-05-10 0.627236 1.777118 4.121402 8.723867 16.875027 29.921306 51.360256
2026-05-17 0.568665 1.690616 4.050328 8.789908 17.332739 31.193224 54.224779
2026-05-24 0.512859 1.601523 3.964451 8.819854 17.725158 32.368492 56.967110
2026-05-31 0.466661 1.528302 3.903157 8.889601 18.186153 33.665168 59.931867
2026-06-07 0.419897 1.445593 3.813056 8.895492 18.530313 34.776903 62.628403
2026-06-14 0.396332 1.420602 3.844711 9.140924 19.313349 36.636880 66.570775
2026-06-21 0.370303 1.384533 3.848049 9.328424 19.996331 38.347142 70.311489
2026-06-28 0.337013 1.321843 3.784742 9.374886 20.418417 39.626215 73.378222